I
read a very interesting summary about the reliability of DNA with respect to
confirming familial relationships in the latest issue of Quarterly, the journal of
the Association of Professional Genealogists (December 2015, volume XXX, number
4) by Dr. Blaine R. Bettinger (Understanding DNA Sharing Probabilities among
Close Relatives). In the paper, he discussed how difficult it can be to
determine whether people are related past the level of 4th cousins.
And, by the way, he did it language that all of us can clearly understand, something
that is not always the case with articles on such technical subjects.
Now, of course, many researchers have had success in finding members of their family who are
very distant cousins, mostly through traditional genealogical means
I think, though. I am not convinced yet that people can very often find those
same individuals just through DNA. Dr. Bettinger points out that, because of
the way DNA is passed down through generations, with 5th cousins and
beyond “[t]here is a greater chance of not sharing
DNA than there is of sharing DNA. Accordingly, lack of sharing between fifth
cousins or a more distant relationship is not meaningful evidence.”
That
is kind of what I was getting at in my post of 26 January 2016 (Why would we
care about 4th cousins? Or even more distant relatives?). As I said,
DNA can be great. I met a few 2nd cousins through 23andMe, but only
because we all had our DNA tested by that company! That is the biggest problem
I see in finding those elusive family lines when other genealogical information
is missing. If no one in those branches gets tested we might never come across
them let alone confirm their relationships.
Having
said that, of course, my wife and I both had our DNA tested and I persuaded a
male cousin to do so as well. It was done just in the hope that there might be
other family members out there who might test theirs and we might make contact
with each other. I guess that’s the real game of family research, anyway – get
more lines in the water (cousin bait as Randy Seaver says).
I
am looking forward to Dr. Bettinger’s next installment about DNA in Quarterly
but I also hope he will publish these comments in other journals where
non-professional family historians will be able to read them.
I
do see DNA testing as a tool but not the end-all-and-be-all. Genealogists seek
blood relatives for the most part although not all members of real families are
always genetically related (as I stated in my post of 13 January 2015 (Don’t Forget
About Those Half-Brothers and Sisters).
If
you can find cousins and confirm their relationships with DNA, that’s great!
But I think there is still no substitute for vigorous traditional genealogical research
in assembling a true and accurate family tree.
Wayne Shepheard is a volunteer with the Online Parish Clerk program in England, handling four
parishes in Devon, England. He has published a
number of articles about various aspects of genealogy and is the Editor of Relatively
Speaking, the quarterly journal of the Alberta Genealogical Society.
Wayne also provides genealogical consulting services through his business, Family History Facilitated.